Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.058506 0.066351 0.074374 0.083163 0.092491 0.102066 0.112613
2025-09-07 0.046242 0.057743 0.070080 0.084160 0.099658 0.116081 0.134691
2025-09-14 0.038790 0.052537 0.067866 0.085915 0.106309 0.128396 0.153896
2025-09-21 0.034435 0.049972 0.067857 0.089436 0.114301 0.141657 0.173658
2025-09-28 0.029788 0.046405 0.066150 0.090533 0.119140 0.151058 0.188825
2025-10-05 0.029046 0.047417 0.069699 0.097613 0.130722 0.167970 0.212339
2025-10-12 0.024719 0.043420 0.066819 0.096762 0.132835 0.173894 0.223256
2025-10-19 0.022121 0.041402 0.066170 0.098411 0.137734 0.182898 0.237577
2025-10-26 0.019366 0.038881 0.064668 0.098837 0.141033 0.189932 0.249541
2025-11-02 0.017384 0.037241 0.064154 0.100371 0.145569 0.198338 0.263032
2025-11-09 0.015137 0.034974 0.062644 0.100513 0.148307 0.204547 0.273904
2025-11-16 0.012190 0.031283 0.058963 0.097670 0.147213 0.206075 0.279185
2025-11-23 0.009608 0.027917 0.055639 0.095312 0.146837 0.208656 0.285991
2025-11-30 0.008249 0.026449 0.054928 0.096371 0.150751 0.216438 0.299017
2025-12-07 0.007253 0.025489 0.054875 0.098259 0.155679 0.225433 0.313478
2025-12-14 0.006800 0.025493 0.056230 0.102045 0.163026 0.237376 0.331467
2025-12-21 0.005836 0.024331 0.055730 0.103223 0.166981 0.245143 0.344441
2025-12-28 0.006267 0.026123 0.059833 0.110820 0.179269 0.263180 0.369783
2026-01-04 0.005012 0.024110 0.057888 0.109907 0.180464 0.267522 0.378628
2026-01-11 0.004382 0.023361 0.057881 0.111675 0.185125 0.276128 0.392602
2026-01-18 0.003614 0.022115 0.056989 0.112132 0.188027 0.282527 0.403892
2026-01-25 0.003109 0.021418 0.056948 0.113774 0.192473 0.290836 0.417491
2026-02-01 0.002474 0.020180 0.055916 0.113927 0.194902 0.296597 0.427970